Official data show that violent crime has decreased, even though visible petty offences and social media-driven perceptions continue to create a growing sense of lawlessness and insecurity.
Many influential political figures warn that Britain is overwhelmed by a crime surge. This narrative is not limited to the Conservative Party or Reform; Labour’s Attorney General has also claimed that crime threatens the very fabric of the nation.
“The very fabric of the nation is at risk of ‘unravelling’ due to crime.”
These warnings seem to resonate with the public. According to last year’s Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW), 82% of respondents believed crime had increased, compared to 57% ten years earlier. Similar perceptions have been recorded in Scotland recently. Additionally, 21% of Britons see crime as one of the country's most pressing issues, a rise from 9% in 2016.
Despite these widespread concerns, data from police reports, hospital records, and population surveys suggest that, apart from Scotland where trends differ, Britain is in many ways safer than before.
Crime trends in Scotland are distinct and should be assessed separately from the rest of Britain.
“In many respects, Britain is safer than ever.”
Author’s summary: Although public and political fear of rising crime in Britain is strong, trustworthy data show that violent crime is actually declining, highlighting a gap between perception and reality.